Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.179602 0.205197 0.233693 0.267869 0.307871 0.353359 0.409220
2026-01-18 0.143044 0.177865 0.220580 0.277281 0.351238 0.445344 0.575616
2026-01-25 0.118785 0.156862 0.206941 0.278567 0.379913 0.520522 0.734515
2026-02-01 0.101930 0.141089 0.195502 0.278123 0.403060 0.589325 0.896582
2026-02-08 0.088839 0.127834 0.184547 0.275112 0.420056 0.650065 1.057490
2026-02-15 0.078541 0.116849 0.174804 0.271522 0.434295 0.707490 1.223952
2026-02-22 0.072401 0.111139 0.171968 0.277840 0.464877 0.796481 1.465220
2026-03-01 0.065240 0.102829 0.163748 0.273669 0.476193 0.852923 1.657654
2026-03-08 0.059974 0.096914 0.158600 0.273805 0.494843 0.925733 1.900039
2026-03-15 0.055421 0.091638 0.153816 0.273734 0.512769 0.999998 2.163890
2026-03-22 0.052428 0.088689 0.152686 0.280164 0.544302 1.107871 2.533154
2026-03-29 0.049554 0.085621 0.150935 0.285042 0.573290 1.215791 2.933142
2026-04-05 0.046796 0.082547 0.148948 0.289441 0.602677 1.332356 3.396254
2026-04-12 0.044670 0.080441 0.148580 0.297185 0.641067 1.479268 3.994070
2026-04-19 0.042009 0.077038 0.145273 0.298151 0.663941 1.592923 4.535234
2026-04-26 0.039465 0.073609 0.141527 0.297601 0.683053 1.701200 5.099743
2026-05-03 0.036917 0.069931 0.136870 0.294336 0.694829 1.792370 5.642954
2026-05-10 0.034561 0.066427 0.132219 0.290457 0.704372 1.879617 6.207767
2026-05-17 0.033309 0.065088 0.132062 0.297281 0.743666 2.064398 7.214173
2026-05-24 0.031267 0.061904 0.127538 0.292776 0.751010 2.152998 7.882868
2026-05-31 0.029744 0.059700 0.124990 0.292922 0.771696 2.289957 8.818984
2026-06-07 0.028324 0.057603 0.122481 0.292846 0.791809 2.430683 9.843622
2026-06-14 0.027472 0.056689 0.122621 0.299792 0.834571 2.662196 11.420845